The strong rebound in GBP/USD last week suggests that corrective decline from 1.5929 could have completed with three waves down to 1.5164 already. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 1.5817 resistance first. The rise from 1.4565 might extend through 1.5929. But in that case, we'd expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.7190 to 1.4565 at 1.6187 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.5338 minor support will turn focus back to 1.5164 support instead.
In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 1.7190 should have completed 1.4565. Momentum of the rebound from 1.4565 was relatively weak and the structure is somewhat corrective. Hence, we'd now treat price actions from 1.4565 as developing into a consolidation/correction pattern only. Fall from 1.7190 is viewed as resuming the longer term down trend from 2.1161 and would target 1.3503 and below later.
In the longer term picture, we're sticking on to the view that price actions from 1.3503 are the fourth wave of the five wave sequence from 2.1161. That means, firstly, 1.3503 shouldn't be the end point of the downtrend yet and a new low is expected. However, secondly, as the next fall could be the fifth wave, the breach of 1.3503 could be shallow and brief from long term point of view and we'll then see a more sustainable rebound.
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