USD/JPY dropped sharply to 116.13 last week. The pair then drew support from 115.55/116.38 (38.2% retracement of 101.08 to 125.85 at 116.38) and rebounded. Price actions from 125.85 should develop into a corrective pattern that would extend in short to medium term. Thus we'd expect strong resistance above 61.8% retracement of 125.27 to 116.13 at 119.62 and bring another fall. Below 119.78 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 115.55/116.38 support again.
Monday, 31 August 2015
EUR/USD Weekly Outlook
EUR/USD surged to as high as 1.1713 last week but faced strong resistance below 1.1810 fibonacci level and reversed. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 1.1016 support first. Break will larger 1.0807. Decisive break there will confirm completion of whole rise from 1.0461 and would likely extend the larger down trend. On the upside, above 1.1363 minor resistance will turn bias neutral.
GBP/USD Weekly Outlook
GBP/USD rose to 1.5817 last week but dropped sharply since then. The development suggests that the corrective pattern from 1.5329 has completed with three waves up to 1.5817. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 1.5329 first. Break will resume the fall from 1.5929 and target 100% projection of 1.5929 to 1.5329 from 1.5817 at 1.5217. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.4846. On the upside, above 1.5508 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 1.5817 resistance holds.
Friday, 28 August 2015
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Key Trend Line Back in Focus
- USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
- Prices Recover to Target Trend-Defining Trend Line Resistance
- Waiting for Directional Clarity to Emerge Before Taking a Trade
The US Dollar continues to correct higher against the Japanese Yen
after prices found support above the 116.00 figure. Buyers are now
poised to retest the underside of a trend-defining trend line that
guided the pair higher through much of 2015 until a bearish breakout
seemingly tipped the scales in the opposite direction earlier this week.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Aiming Below 1.12 Figure
- EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
- Euro Drops for Third Day, Aims at Push Below 1.12 Figure
- Risk/reward Parameters Argue Against Taking Short Trade
The Euro declined for a third consecutive day against the US Dollar,
with prices now aiming at support below the 1.12 figure. A daily close
below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1153 exposes the next
downside barrier at 1.1021, the 76.4% level. Alternatively, a move back
above the 50% Fib at 1.1260 targets the 38.2% retracement at 1.1367.
Tuesday, 25 August 2015
Dow tries to mount stock-market rally as China cuts interest rates
U.S. stocks moved sharply higher Tuesday attempting to partially recover from the brutal selloff during the previous session, as China’s central bank cut interest rates.
Trading on Wall Street remained volatile, however, with the NYSE invoking Rule 48for the second straight day, intended to facilitate a smooth opening. Implied volatility as measured by the CBOE Volatility index VIX, -28.01% on Tuesday fell 23% to 31, but remains at elevated levels.
Global Market Sell-off
Stock market all over the world is experiencing a high level of volatility as seen from the drop in all the market indices around the world. The Dow Jones took the biggest hit when it dropped about 588 points in yesterday trading
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